The preview
UCLA hosts Arizona with the belt on the line
UCLA puts the Women's College Basketball belt on the line for the 1st time this reign. UCLA leads the all-time series 32–11, and Arizona has held it 1 time before.
Up next: UCLA vs. Arizona, November 12, 2026. The Women's College Basketball belt is on the line
Holder · 4th reign · 0 defenses
U
UCLA
5–0 in the last 5 · Last: def. South Carolina 79–51
Belt on the line
THU
November 12, 2026
Pauley Pavilion, Los Angeles
Time TBA
Challenger · last held 2021
A
Arizona
1–4 in the last 5 · Last: lost to Arizona State 51–54
If UCLA wins
1st defense · reign reaches 221 days
If Arizona wins
Belt changes hands · Arizona’s 2nd reign
Head to head, belt games
First belt game between these two
2025–26 records
UCLA 37–1 · Arizona 12–18
98% to defend, per our Elo estimate · 25% to hold the belt through the regular season (outlook)
Beat the lean
Pick before tipoff. We grade it after the game.
Recent form
Last 5 games
UCLA
- W79–51vs South Carolina · playoffsApr 5, 2026
- W51–44vs Texas · playoffsApr 3, 2026
- W70–58vs Duke · playoffsMar 29, 2026
- W80–56vs Minnesota · playoffsMar 27, 2026
- W87–68vs Oklahoma State · playoffsMar 23, 2026
Arizona
- L51–54at Arizona StateMar 4, 2026
- L67–81at UtahFeb 28, 2026
- W75–67vs HoustonFeb 24, 2026
- L60–74at BaylorFeb 21, 2026
- L70–78vs ColoradoFeb 17, 2026
Head to head
All-time series
UCLA leads the series 32–11, going back to January 18, 2003.
| Date | Matchup | Score (away–home) |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | UCLA at Arizona | 61–41 |
| Feb 9, 2024 | Arizona at UCLA | 58–66 |
| Mar 2, 2023 | UCLA vs. Arizona | 73–59 |
| Feb 3, 2023 | Arizona at UCLA | 71–66 |
| Feb 24, 2022 | UCLA at Arizona | 64–46 |
| Jan 26, 2022 | Arizona at UCLA | 74–63 |
| Mar 5, 2021 | UCLA vs. Arizona | 58–49 |
| Dec 4, 2020 | UCLA at Arizona | 65–68 |
| Jan 31, 2020 | UCLA at Arizona | 66–92 |
| Jan 5, 2020 | Arizona at UCLA | 58–70 |
The belt tree
State of the belt →UCLA has a 98% chance to defend, by our Elo ratings. Here's every way the next four belt games can go: win, and the holder plays its next game; lose, and the challenger carries the belt into theirs.
Next belt game
Nov 12
UCLA vs. Arizona
UCLA 98% · Arizona 3%
Belt game 2
Nov 15 · 98% to happen
UCLA vs. Princeton
UCLA 88% · Princeton 12%
Nov 15 · 3% to happen
Arizona vs. Oregon State
Arizona 43% · Oregon State 57%
Belt game 3
Nov 22 · 86% to happen
UCLA at Tennessee
UCLA 84% · Tennessee 16%
Nov 18 · 12% to happen
Princeton vs. George Mason
Princeton 69% · George Mason 31%
Dec 5 · 1% to happen
Oregon State vs. BYU
Oregon State 55% · BYU 45%
Nov 19 · 1% to happen
Arizona vs. New Mexico State
Arizona 76% · New Mexico State 24%
Belt game 4
Dec 16 · 72% to happen
UCLA vs. Duke
UCLA 73% · Duke 27%
Dec 3 · 14% to happen
Tennessee at Virginia Tech
Tennessee 37% · Virginia Tech 63%
Nov 22 · 8% to happen
Princeton vs. Georgia Tech
Princeton 84% · Georgia Tech 16%
Nov 28 · 4% to happen
George Mason at Providence
George Mason 79% · Providence 21%
Nov 23 · <1% to happen
Arizona vs. Vanderbilt
Arizona 14% · Vanderbilt 86%
Jan 1 · <1% to happen
Oregon State at Princeton
Oregon State 20% · Princeton 80%
Dec 9 · <1% to happen
BYU vs. Southern Utah
BYU 84% · Southern Utah 16%
Dec 2 · <1% to happen
New Mexico State vs. Saint Mary's
New Mexico State 52% · Saint Mary's 48%
Who holds it after each game
| Team | After game 1 | After game 2 | After game 3 | After game 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | 98% | 86% | 72% | 52% |
| Duke | — | — | — | 20% |
| Virginia Tech | — | — | — | 9% |
| Princeton | — | 12% | 8% | 8% |
| Tennessee | — | — | 14% | 5% |
| George Mason | — | — | 4% | 3% |
| Georgia Tech | — | — | — | 1% |
| Providence | — | — | — | <1% |
| Vanderbilt | — | — | — | <1% |
| BYU | — | — | <1% | <1% |
| Oregon State | — | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| New Mexico State | — | — | <1% | <1% |
| Saint Mary's | — | — | — | <1% |
| Arizona | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Southern Utah | — | — | — | <1% |