College Basketball belt power rankings · week 2026-W46
Who ends up with the belt?
as of November 12, 2026Each team's chance of holding the College Basketball belt when the schedule on file runs out (March 7, 2027), from 4,000 simulated seasons passed game by game with Elo win chances, as they stood on November 12, 2026. UConn held the belt (1 defense), with Ohio State up next on November 13, 2026. UConn leads the board at 3.5%.
| # | Team | Share | Chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UConn holder | 3.5% | ||
| 2 | Villanova | 2.1% | ||
| 3 | Houston | 2.1% | ||
| 4 | Florida | 2.0% | ||
| 5 | St. John's | 1.9% | ||
| 6 | Xavier | 1.7% | ||
| 7 | Texas Tech | 1.7% | ||
| 8 | Auburn | 1.6% | ||
| 9 | Arkansas | 1.6% | ||
| 10 | Alabama | 1.6% | ||
| 11 | Gonzaga | 1.5% | ||
| 12 | Arizona | 1.4% | ||
| 13 | Texas A&M | 1.3% | ||
| 14 | Michigan State | 1.3% | ||
| 15 | TCU | 1.3% | ||
| 16 | Iowa State | 1.3% | ||
| 17 | North Carolina | 1.2% | ||
| 18 | Vanderbilt | 1.2% | ||
| 19 | Illinois | 1.1% | ||
| 20 | Duke | 1.1% | ||
| 21 | DePaul | 1.1% | ||
| 22 | Purdue | 1.0% | ||
| 23 | Missouri | 0.9% | ||
| 24 | Tennessee | 0.9% | ||
| 25 | Baylor | 0.9% |
Moves are against the previous weekly snapshot. The live version of this table is on the outlook page.