College Basketball belt power rankings · week 2026-W43
Who ends up with the belt?
as of October 24, 2026Each team's chance of holding the College Basketball belt when the schedule on file runs out (March 7, 2027), from 4,000 simulated seasons passed game by game with Elo win chances, as they stood on October 24, 2026. Michigan held the belt (1 defense), with Oakland up next on November 2, 2026. Michigan leads the board at 4.7%.
| # | Team | Share | Chance | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michigan holder | 4.7% | ||
| 2 | Michigan State | 4.0% | ||
| 3 | Purdue | 3.7% | ||
| 4 | UConn | 3.4% | ||
| 5 | Illinois | 3.4% | ||
| 6 | Duke | 2.8% | ||
| 7 | St. John's | 2.5% | ||
| 8 | UCLA | 2.0% | ||
| 9 | Arizona | 1.9% | ||
| 10 | Houston | 1.9% | ||
| 11 | Wisconsin | 1.8% | ||
| 12 | Ohio State | 1.7% | ||
| 13 | Gonzaga | 1.7% | ||
| 14 | Florida | 1.6% | ||
| 15 | Nebraska | 1.4% | ||
| 16 | Arkansas | 1.3% | ||
| 17 | Xavier | 1.2% | ||
| 18 | Iowa | 1.2% | ||
| 19 | Villanova | 1.2% | ||
| 20 | Alabama | 1.1% | ||
| 21 | Auburn | 1.1% | ||
| 22 | Maryland | 1.0% | ||
| 23 | Vanderbilt | 1.0% | ||
| 24 | North Carolina | 1.0% | ||
| 25 | Texas Tech | 1.0% |
Moves are against the previous weekly snapshot. The live version of this table is on the outlook page.